SOLAR ENERGY FORECASTING WITH DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUE

Authors

  • Kelvin Edem Bassey Interroof Nigeria Limited, Nigeria

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51594/estj.v4i2.1286

Abstract

The increasing reliance on renewable energy sources, such as solar power, necessitates accurate forecasting to ensure efficient grid integration and stability. This study explores the application of deep learning techniques, particularly deep neural networks (DNNs), in predicting solar irradiance and power output. By leveraging advanced algorithms and large datasets, this research aims to enhance the precision of solar energy forecasts, thereby optimizing grid management and resource allocation. Deep learning techniques, characterized by their ability to model complex nonlinear relationships, offer significant advantages over traditional statistical methods in forecasting solar energy. This study focuses on the development and evaluation of deep neural networks for predicting solar irradiance, which directly influences the power output of photovoltaic (PV) systems. The models are trained on extensive historical weather data, satellite imagery, and real-time solar output measurements to capture temporal and spatial variations in solar energy. Key components of the research include data preprocessing to handle missing values and noise, feature extraction to identify relevant patterns, and model training using various architectures of DNNs such as convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and recurrent neural networks (RNNs). The study also employs ensemble learning techniques to combine predictions from multiple models, further enhancing forecast accuracy. Results demonstrate that deep neural networks significantly outperform traditional forecasting methods in terms of accuracy and reliability. The improved forecasts enable better scheduling of energy generation and distribution, reducing reliance on fossil fuels and minimizing grid imbalances. Additionally, accurate solar energy predictions support the efficient integration of solar power into the grid, enhancing overall system stability and reducing operational costs. The study also addresses challenges in implementing deep learning models, such as computational requirements and the need for large, high-quality datasets. Solutions include leveraging cloud computing resources and developing standardized data collection protocols to facilitate broader application and scalability of the models. Application of deep learning techniques in solar energy forecasting represents a promising advancement for the renewable energy sector. By improving the accuracy of solar irradiance and power output predictions, deep neural networks contribute to more reliable grid integration and efficient energy management. This research advocates for the continued exploration and adoption of advanced machine learning methods to support the transition to a sustainable energy future.

Keywords: Deep Learning Techniques; Solar Energy; Forecasting; Grid Integration; Power Output.

Published

2023-06-30

How to Cite

Kelvin Edem Bassey. (2023). SOLAR ENERGY FORECASTING WITH DEEP LEARNING TECHNIQUE. Engineering Science & Technology Journal, 4(2), 18-32. https://doi.org/10.51594/estj.v4i2.1286

Issue

Section

Articles